The Final Investment Decision (FID) on the $25 billion Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline project will likely be taken by the end of 2025.
Morocco’s Minister of Energy Transition and Sustainable Development, Leila Benali, shared the latest developments on the project during a session in the Council of Advisors.
The Council of Advisors serves as the upper house of Morocco’s parliament.
The update regarding FID on the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline followed the progress made on key agreements, feasibility and engineering studies.
Before announcing the FID, Nigeria and Morocco agreed to create a special-purpose company to manage the pipeline.
The FID declaration marks a significant step forward in the project, which aims to connect Nigeria’s vast natural gas reserves to Morocco and extend to Europe.
The Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline project, estimated to cost about $25 billion, has gained strong financial backing from major international institutions.
These organizations include the Islamic Development Bank, the OPEC Fund, and the European Investment Bank.
Also, the US and the United Arab Emirates have expressed interest in funding the $25 billion Morocco-Nigeria gas pipeline project.
Launched in 2016 during Morocco’s King Mohammed VI’s visit to Nigeria, the proposed Nigeria-Morocco pipeline aims to connect West Africa to Europe via Morocco.
The pipeline will stretch over 5,600 kilometres, making it one of the longest gas pipelines in the world.
It will carry natural gas from Nigeria through 13 African countries to Morocco. The pipeline will then extend from Morocco to Europe, offering a more secure and diversified route for natural gas supply to Europe.
The 13 concerned countries are Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Ghana, Cote d’Ivoire, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, Senegal, Mauritania, and Morocco.
The pipeline aims to transport up to 30 billion cubic meters of gas annually.
The Nigeria-Morocco pipeline will position Morocco as a key energy hub, improving ties with the US, the European Union, and African nations. On April 23, Morocco issued an expression of interest for an LNG terminal near the port of Nador. The terminal will connect to an existing pipeline that links Morocco to Spain and industrial zones in Mohammedia, Kenitra and Dakhla.
Consequently, Morocco would become a gateway for African gas to Europe and possibly North America.
As for Nigeria, the pipeline will cement Nigeria’s role as a significant gas supplier, rivalling Algeria and Egypt. Nigeria’s ability to export gas to Europe would deepen its economic ties and strengthen its position as a critical energy partner for Europe.
The Nigeria-Morocco pipeline will supply cheap natural gas to West African countries. These countries need affordable gas for electricity generation and feedstock for their gas-based industries.
The pipeline will provide Europe with access to a new source of natural gas from Africa. Europe has long relied on Russian gas supplies to meet its energy needs. Unfortunately, the Russia-Ukraine war disrupted Russia’s gas supplies, pushing Europe to seek additional gas sources. Thus, the Nigeria-Morocco pipeline project will help cushion Europe from potential future supply disruptions.
The US support of the Nigeria-Morocco pipeline could be a way for Washington to counter China’s dominant influence in Africa. The rivalry between China and the United States over influence in Africa’s development projects is intensifying. Both great powers are vying for participation in critical projects across the continent. Early in January 2025, the Nigeria-Morocco gas pipeline project gained strategic support from Jingye Group, a Chinese steel producer. Through its UK subsidiary, Jingye British Steel, the company plans to supply high-quality steel products vital for the pipeline’s construction.
The Nigeria-Morocco gas pipeline is forecast to cost $25+ billion, making it one of Africa’s most expensive energy projects. Most of the 13 countries that the pipeline will cross can’t afford to fund it due to economic and financial constraints (debt, currency devaluations). Thus, funding must come from financial institutions such as the World Bank, the African Development Bank, or private investors.
The European Union is accelerating the use of renewables to meet its energy needs, which may reduce long-term gas demand. The EU is already a global leader in developing renewable energy technology. The share of renewables in the EU’s energy usage in 2023 was 24.5%. With the revised Renewable Energy Directive in November 2023, EU member states agreed on a general renewable energy target of at least 42.5% by 2030 to reach at least 45%.
Algeria, Morocco’s key rival in North Africa, will pose a geopolitical risk for the Nigeria-Morocco pipeline. Algeria, a major gas exporter, will view NMGP as a threat to its proposed Trans Sahara gas pipeline project. It exports gas via Medgaz pipelines to Spain, Italy, and France. Algeria also shut down the Maghreb-Europe Gas Pipeline (MEGP) in 2021 due to tensions with Morocco. Algeria’s concern is that the NMGP could divert EU gas demand away from Algeria. As such, Algeria may lobby against the NMGP in the European Union or even the African Union.
Despite the global trade uncertainties, some African countries are expected to exhibit robust growth in 2025.
| Country | 2025 Growth Forecast (%) | Key Growth Drivers | Challenges |
| Senegal | 8.7 | Oil and gas production, Infrastructure projects | External trade uncertainty |
| Rwanda | 7.7 | Growth in services and industrial sectors, government reforms, investment in infrastructure, Digital transformation | Limited natural resources |
| Ethiopia | 7.5 | Industrial parks, infrastructure development, expansion of manufacturing sector | Political stability, regional conflicts, inflation risks |
| Niger | 6.6 | Oil & mining expansion (Uranium), agricultural modernization | Regional security concerns |
| Tanzania | 5.9 | Agriculture, Mining, tourism, infrastructure development | External debt levels |
| Kenya | 4.9 | Agriculture, technology sector growth | Fiscal pressures, political instability in neighboring countries |
| Ghana | 4.6 | Diversified economy (industry & service sector), expanding consumer market | Commodity price volatility, High debt level |
| Tanzania | 5.0 | Mining, tourism, infrastructure development | External debt levels |
| Egypt | 3.9 | North African economic leader; diverse industries, strong trade ties with the Middle East, Europe, and North Africa region | High debt level, external trade uncertainty, regional instability (Middle East & North Africa) |
| Morocco | 3.8 | Gateway to European and West African markets; stable political environment; strong banking and industrial sectors | External trade uncertainty, Tension with Algeria |
| Nigeria | 3.1 | Oil exports, domestic market | Trade tariffs, inflation, High Debt level, FX pressures, Currency devaluation |
| South Africa | 1.0 | Africa’s largest economy; most advanced economy in Africa; diverse industries | Electricity crisis, external trade uncertainty |
Below is a regional breakdown of the 2025 growth forecasts and the underlying factors.
| Region | 2025 GDP Growth Forecast (%) | Key Drivers | Challenges |
| East Africa | 5.9% | Strong performances in countries like Rwanda, Uganda, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Djibouti; investments in energy infrastructure and Agriculture | Ongoing conflicts in Sudan and South Sudan |
| West Africa | 4.3% | Full commencement of oil and gas production in Senegal and Niger); strong domestic demand; increased value addition in key agricultural products (Côte d’Ivoire, Gambia, Mali, and Togo) | Regional security concerns, global supply chain disruptions and increased volatility in financial markets |
| Central Africa | 3.2% | Commodity demand like metals and critical minerals. | Humanitarian crises in the Democratic Republic of Congo and declining oil & gas production and exports in Equatorial Guinea |
| North Africa | 3.6% | Strong European demand (France, Italy, Spain) | Downward revisions for countries like Egypt and Libya due to economic uncertainties. |
| Southern Africa | 2.2% | Strong domestic demand and exports to key trading partners (China and the United States) | Tariff uncertainty negatively impacting South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana |
President Bola Tinubu, on May 22, inaugurated the newly appointed board and executive management of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC). The swearing-in ceremony occurred at the Aso Rock Villa in Abuja following their appointments on April 2.
President Tinubu inaugurated Ahmadu Kida, the board’s Non-Executive Chairman, and Bashir Ojulari, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer.
The newly constituted 11-member board includes representatives from Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones and officials from key federal ministries.
Key government representatives in attendance were Heineken Lokpobiri, Minister of State for Petroleum (Gas); Mohammed Idris, Minister of Information and National Orientation; and Wale Edun, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy.
Bashir Bayo Ojulari, appointed as the Group Chief Executive Officer (GCEO), will lead the new NNPC board. Mr Ojulari possesses over two decades of experience in the oil and gas industry. He served as the Managing Director of Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company (SNEPCo) from 2015 to 2021.
Before his appointment as NNPCL GCEO, he was the Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer at Renaissance African Energy Company. Renaissance Africa is a consortium of five companies that bought Shell’s onshore assets in Nigeria for $2.4 billion.
Before being appointed the Non-Executive Chairman of the board, Ahmadu Musa Kida was a seasoned executive with a background in the oil industry. In 1985, he joined Total Exploration & Production Nigeria, where he worked for over 30 years. He ascended to prominent roles, including the Deputy Managing Director of the Deepwater District in Lagos in 2015. His expertise led him to serve as an Independent Non-Executive Director at various oil and gas companies, including TotalEnergies Nigeria.
Apart from Bashir Bayo Ojulari and Ahmadu Musa Kida, the other nine (9) board members include:
President Tinubu outlined key ambitious targets for the new board to accomplish by 2030 during the inauguration ceremony.
The plan is to boost crude oil production to over 2 million barrels per day by 2027 and 3 million barrels per day by 2030.
To reduce its reliance on imported petroleum products, NNPC plans to expand its domestic refining capacity to 200,000 bpd by 2027 and to 500,000 bpd by 2030.
On the gas front, the aim is to boost gas production to 10 billion cubic feet (BCF) per day by 2027 and 12 BCF per day by 2030.
In terms of pipelines, Ojulari would advance gas infrastructure projects. These include the OB-3 and AKK gas pipelines to boost domestic gas usage. He is also expected to advocate for regional gas pipeline projects, such as the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline, to enhance Nigeria’s gas export capacity.
President Tinubu inaugurated the new NNPC board after he dissolved the previous board, which was headed by Mele Kyari (former GCEO) and Pius Akinyelure (Non-Executive Chairman).
Former President, Muhammadu Buhari, appointed Melee Kyari as the GCEO in June 2019. Although Mr Kyari oversaw the company’s transition into a limited liability entity in 2022, his tenure was marred by declining oil production amid rampant crude theft and pipeline vandalism.
Therefore, the new NNPC board is expected to spearhead critical objectives. One key objective is to attract $30 billion in investments by 2027 and $60 billion by 2030.
In addition, the new board will perform a “strategic portfolio review” of NNPC’s operated and non-operated assets. The planned reviews come as NNPC prepares for a planned initial public offering within 12–15 months.
Another key objective of the new NNPC board is to complete all gas infrastructure projects. Key gas pipeline projects include the Ajaokuta–Kaduna–Kano (AKK) Gas Pipeline, the Nigeria–Morocco Gas Pipeline, the Nigeria LNG Train 7 Expansion, the OB3 Pipeline, the Brass Methanol and Gas Hub Project, the UTM Offshore Floating LNG Project, and others.
Polypropylene is a type of plastic polymer used in various applications. These include packaging, automotive parts, textiles, construction materials, and medical devices. It is known for its durability, chemical resistance, and lightweight properties.
The statement coincides with the recent launch of Dangote’s $2 billion petrochemical plant in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos. The plant is designed to produce 77 grades of polypropylene using UK firm INEOS Innovene technology.
With an annual capacity of 900,000 metric tons, the plant began producing polypropylene in March.
Established in 1978, Vinmar is a global leader in the marketing and distribution of petrochemicals, serving customers in more than 110 countries. By cooperating with Vinmar, Dangote gains access to a robust global supply chain and technology in polymer exports.
Dangote-Vinmar’s partnership follows the commissioning of Dangote’s $2 billion petrochemical plant in the Lekki Free Zone in Lagos.
The plant began producing polypropylene in 25kg bags for the local market in March.
With an annual production capacity of 900,000 metric tons, the facility features two units capable of producing 500,000 mt/year and 330,000 mt/year, respectively.
Polypropylene is a thermoplastic polymer made from propylene monomers.
In packaging, polypropylene is essential for plastic containers, food packaging films, bottle caps, and films.
The textile industry uses polypropylene for carpets, ropes, upholstery, and reusable shopping bags.
Due to its lightweight and strong properties, the automotive sector utilizes the product in bumpers, dashboards, and battery casings.
Due to its sterility and durability, polypropylene is used in healthcare for syringes and medical vials.
The construction and electronics industries utilize polypropylene for insulation materials, cables, and battery cases.
Polypropylene’s versatility and benefits make it a popular choice for packaging across many industries.
According to Trademap, Nigeria’s annual polypropylene import hit $370 million in 2024, $267.7 million in 2023 and $407 million in 2022.
Nigeria imports 90% of its annual polypropylene requirements, amounting to 250,000 metric tons annually.
With an annual capacity of 830,000 tons, Dangote plants will export about 600,000 tons to global markets. At the same time, it is dedicating 250,00 MT to meet domestic demand.
Thus, Dangote’s strategic partnership with Vinmar will enable it to meet local demand and become a net exporter.
Apart from production, Dangote’s partnership with Vinmar will involve marketing polypropylene in 25 kg bags. Platts last assessed the CFR West Africa PP raffia spot price at $1,090/mt on March 5, unchanged from the previous week.
With an annual capacity of 830,000 tons, Dangote plans to export about 600,000 tons of the product mainly to other African countries and the United States.
Previously, Nigeria depended on imports from the Middle East and domestic production from Indorama Petrochemical plant.
Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, China, and Vietnam are among the top importers of polypropylene into Nigeria.
By 2035, Africa’s market volume will reach 5.5 million metric tons, with a market value of $7.7 billion.
In 2024, polypropylene consumption hit 4.7 million tons. The value of polypropylene in the primary forms market in Africa totaled $6.3 billion. Egypt (1.1M tons) and South Africa (742K tons) had the highest consumption volumes.
In value terms, the largest polypropylene markets in primary forms in Africa include Egypt ($1.5 Billion) and South Africa ($993 million).
Polypropylene production in primary forms dropped to 3.6 million tons in 2024, representing a value of $4.6 billion.
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were South Africa (911K tons), Egypt (908K tons), and Somalia (367K tons).
In 2024, Africa imported 1.6 million tons of polypropylene, valued at $2.3 billion.
Egypt was the leading importer of polypropylene into Africa, with a volume of imports of 434K tons. Nigeria (183K tons) ranks second in terms of total imports.
In value terms, the largest polypropylene importers were Egypt ($622 million), Nigeria ($370 million) and Algeria ($194 million).
In 2024, the average import price into Africa amounted to $1,426 per ton. Nigeria had the highest price ($2,025 per ton), while Uganda had the lowest ($1,177 per ton).
In 2024, global shipments reached 493K tons, valued at $690 million. Egypt (270K tons) and South Africa (206K tons) represented roughly 97% of total exports, valued at $382 million and $289 million, respectively.
The export price from Africa stood at $1,397 per ton in 2024. Egypt ($1,414 per ton) was the country with the highest price, while South Africa stood second at $1,402 per ton.
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